
Block CTO Dhanji Prasanna: Building the AI-First Enterprise with Goose, their Open Source Agent
As CTO of Block, Dhanji Prasanna has overseen a dramatic enterprise AI transformation, with engineers saving 8-10 hours a week through AI automation. Blockโs open-source agent goose connects to existing enterprise tools through MCP, enabling everyone from engineers to sales teams to build custom applications without coding. Dhanji shares how Block reorganized from business unit silos to functional teams to accelerate AI adoption, why they chose to open-source their most valuable AI tool and why he believes swarms of smaller AI models will outperform monolithic LLMs. Hosted by: Sonya Huang and Roelof Botha, Sequoia Capital
Table of Contents
๐ค Is AI friend or foe for financial services companies like Block?
AI's Impact on Financial Services
Dhanji Prasanna offers a nuanced perspective on AI's role in financial services, drawing parallels to nuclear technology to illustrate the dual nature of powerful innovations.
The Nuclear Energy Analogy:
- Purpose-dependent impact - Like nuclear energy, AI's value depends entirely on who develops it and their intentions
- Positive applications - Nuclear medicine saves lives, nuclear energy can be revolutionary for society
- Negative potential - When used to build weapons, the same technology becomes destructive
AI's Proven Benefits:
- Medical breakthroughs - AlphaFold and similar AI applications already demonstrate life-saving potential
- Transformative possibilities - The technology shows immense capacity for positive societal impact
- Nefarious uses - Recognition that AI can also be weaponized for harmful purposes
Block's Strategic Position:
- Technology-first identity - Block positions itself as a technology company rather than purely financial services
- Innovation heritage - Historical pattern of embracing new technologies early and adapting them for customer benefit
- Competitive advantage - AI represents an opportunity to strengthen the business, not a threat to be feared
- Risk mitigation - The only real threat comes from "being asleep at the wheel" and failing to adapt
๐๏ธ How does Block view itself as a technology company versus financial services?
Block's Technology-First Philosophy
Block's CTO explains the company's fundamental identity and approach to innovation, revealing how this mindset shapes their AI strategy.
Core Identity Framework:
- Technology company first - Block fundamentally sees itself as a technology company, not a financial services company
- Early adoption pattern - Consistent history of embracing new technologies before competitors
- Customer-centric innovation - Focus on figuring out how to best serve customers with emerging technologies
Historical Innovation Examples:
- Original card reader - Powered by the velocity of the card going through the reader, demonstrating clever technological innovation
- Blockchain integration - Early adoption and implementation of blockchain technology
- Continuous evolution - Pattern of staying ahead of technological curves throughout company history
Strategic Advantages:
- Proactive approach - Rather than viewing new technology as a threat, Block sees it as an opportunity
- Customer benefits - Already seeing positive impacts for customers through AI implementation
- Competitive positioning - This technology-first mindset provides protection against disruption
๐ฑ What are Block's main business pillars and product offerings today?
Block's Comprehensive Ecosystem
Block operates across multiple verticals, serving different customer segments with an expanding range of products and services.
Primary Business Pillars:
- Square - Comprehensive platform serving merchants and sellers with payment processing and business tools
- Cash App - Consumer-focused financial services application providing digital banking and payment solutions
Additional Product Lines:
- Tidal - Music streaming service offering high-quality audio and exclusive content
- BitKey - Secure Bitcoin storage solution helping users safely hold cryptocurrency
- Rig - Home Bitcoin mining hardware that allows individuals to mine Bitcoin efficiently
Open Source Initiatives:
- Multiple projects - Various open-source contributions to the broader technology community
- Community focus - Commitment to sharing innovations with the developer ecosystem
Bitcoin Mining Strategy:
- Competitive hardware - Rig competes with industry-leading mining equipment
- Energy efficiency - Focus on cost-effective and environmentally conscious mining solutions
- Founder vision - Jack Dorsey's strong belief in Bitcoin as "everyday money" drives this initiative
- Dual-use potential - Recognition that mining infrastructure could serve AI computing needs in the future
๐ Who is driving the AI transformation at Block?
Leadership Alignment on AI Strategy
The AI initiative at Block represents a coordinated effort between key leadership, with clear strategic vision and company-wide transformation goals.
Leadership Collaboration:
- Joint vision - Dhanji Prasanna and Jack Dorsey are completely aligned on AI strategy and implementation
- Strategic planning - Extensive two-day planning session in Sydney to map out AI transformation
- Central investment - Decision to invest in AI centrally rather than through distributed efforts
Implementation Approach:
- Company-wide transformation - Goal to transform the entire company around AI capabilities
- Proactive communication - Dhanji wrote a comprehensive email outlining the AI investment strategy
- Executive buy-in - Jack's immediate 100% agreement and personal involvement in planning
- Historical context - Building on Block's long history of machine learning implementation
Organizational Commitment:
- Resource allocation - Significant investment in central AI capabilities
- Cultural shift - Moving beyond traditional machine learning to comprehensive AI integration
- Strategic priority - AI positioned as essential for company's future success
๐ Summary from [1:00-7:57]
Essential Insights:
- AI as dual-purpose technology - Like nuclear energy, AI's impact depends entirely on who develops it and their intentions, with potential for both revolutionary benefits and harmful applications
- Block's technology-first identity - The company positions itself as a technology company rather than financial services, with a consistent history of early technology adoption from card readers to blockchain
- Comprehensive business ecosystem - Block operates Square for merchants, Cash App for consumers, plus Tidal music streaming, BitKey Bitcoin storage, and Rig mining hardware
Actionable Insights:
- Leadership alignment is crucial for AI transformation - Dhanji and Jack's coordinated two-day planning session demonstrates the importance of executive buy-in
- Companies should view AI as an opportunity to strengthen their business rather than a threat, provided they maintain their innovation mindset
- Building on existing machine learning capabilities provides a foundation for broader AI integration across the organization
๐ References from [1:00-7:57]
People Mentioned:
- Jack Dorsey - Block founder who strongly believes in Bitcoin as everyday money and is aligned with AI transformation strategy
Companies & Products:
- Block - Parent company operating Square, Cash App, Tidal, BitKey, and Rig
- Square - Merchant and seller platform providing payment processing and business tools
- Cash App - Consumer financial services application
- Tidal - Music streaming service owned by Block
- BitKey - Secure Bitcoin storage solution
- Goose - Block's open-source extensible agent mentioned in introduction
Technologies & Tools:
- AlphaFold - AI system for protein structure prediction, cited as example of beneficial AI application
- Bitcoin - Cryptocurrency that Block supports through multiple products and mining hardware
- GitHub - Platform where Dhanji made his first commit to Block's repository in 2011
Concepts & Frameworks:
- Nuclear Energy Analogy - Comparison used to illustrate AI's dual potential for beneficial and harmful applications
- Technology-First Identity - Block's fundamental positioning as a technology company rather than financial services
- Central AI Investment - Strategy of investing in AI capabilities centrally rather than through distributed efforts
๐ค What is the difference between traditional machine learning and generative AI at Block?
Generative AI vs Traditional ML
The fundamental distinction lies in generative AI's deep learning capabilities that go far beyond traditional machine learning's limitations:
Traditional ML at Block:
- Risk-focused applications - Primarily used for fraud detection, spam prevention, and abuse monitoring
- Classification and clustering - Limited to common ML use cases with narrow scope
- Siloed implementation - Confined to specific security and risk management functions
Generative AI Revolution:
- Universal application - Opens possibilities for literally every vertical and function across the company
- Deep learning foundation - Enables complex reasoning and generation rather than just pattern recognition
- Enterprise-wide transformation - Extends AI capabilities beyond risk management to all business operations
The Transformation Impact:
- Expanded use cases - From narrow risk applications to company-wide AI integration
- Enhanced capabilities - Moving from simple classification to complex workflow orchestration
- Strategic advantage - Positioning Block ahead of competitors through comprehensive AI adoption
The shift represents moving from reactive security tools to proactive business enablement across all company functions.
๐ง What did Block CTO Dhanji Prasanna write in his AI manifesto email to Jack Dorsey?
The AI Transformation Email
Dhanji's direct message to Jack Dorsey contained a bold recommendation that would reshape Block's entire AI strategy:
The Core Message:
- "Hire someone, not me" - Dhanji initially suggested bringing in external AI expertise
- Urgent transformation needed - Emphasized that Block was "well behind the eight-ball" in AI adoption
- Strategic imperative - Stressed the need to get ahead in the AI race immediately
Jack's Response:
- Partial implementation - Jack followed half the advice by recognizing the need for AI leadership
- Strategic hire - Instead of external recruitment, Jack hired Dhanji himself as CTO
- Leadership trust - Demonstrated confidence in Dhanji's vision for AI transformation
The Outcome:
"No good deed goes unpunished" - Dhanji's honest assessment led to him taking on the massive responsibility of transforming Block into an AI-first company.
This email became the catalyst for Block's comprehensive AI transformation, showing how direct communication about strategic gaps can drive major organizational change.
๐๏ธ How did Block restructure from business unit silos to functional teams for AI transformation?
Organizational Transformation Strategy
Block executed a progressive restructuring that fundamentally changed how the company operates and innovates:
Phase 1: Special Projects Investment
- Small team approach - 2-5 engineers working on 8 different AI projects simultaneously
- Diverse project sources - Mix of CTO ideas, existing work, and hackathon concepts
- Experimental funding - Strategic bets to test AI applications across different areas
Phase 2: Unwinding GM Structure
- Breaking down silos - Dismantled the general manager structure that kept Square, Cash App, and Tidal separated
- Value unlock - Released trapped potential that was locked within individual business unit silos
- Platform integration - Brought previously separate platform teams into the unified structure
Phase 3: Functional Organization Benefits
- Engineering excellence - Centralized technical standards and best practices
- Unified policies - Consistent approaches across all business units
- Accelerated transformation - Faster AI adoption through coordinated efforts
Strategic Rationale:
- Historical context - GM structure previously served the company well during different growth phases
- Current needs - Centralization enables the depth and singular focus required for AI transformation
- Industry pace - Functional organization better handles "seismic shifts happening on a weekly basis"
The transformation demonstrates how organizational design must evolve to match technological and strategic priorities.
๐ ๏ธ What is Block's multi-pronged approach to integrating AI tools across the workforce?
Comprehensive AI Integration Strategy
Block has adopted a pragmatic, multi-faceted approach to AI adoption that acknowledges there's no single solution:
Approach 1: Open Tool Ecosystem
- Universal access - "Here's every single AI tool there is, go ahead and use it"
- Feedback-driven - Employees report what's working and what isn't
- Mixed success - Some tools gain adoption while others don't resonate
- Competitive mindset - If Goose can't compete with other tools, "then Goose isn't doing its job"
Approach 2: Holistic Capability Framework
Revolutionary perspective shift: Treating everything at Block as unified capabilities rather than separate systems:
Traditional View:
- Enterprise tools (issue tracking, Salesforce)
- Products (payments, Bitcoin, stocks)
- Corporate functions (separate from business)
New Capability Model:
- Universal capabilities - Taking payments, moving Bitcoin, buying stocks, issuing invoices, listening to music
- Corporate capabilities - Creating issues, opening PRs treated with equal importance
- Agent middleware layer - Goose and all UIs communicate through this unified capability layer
The Transformation Results:
- Enormous value unlock - Early stages already showing significant impact
- Workflow orchestration - AI agents can now seamlessly work across all company systems
- Future potential - "Just at the beginning" with expectation of continued utility growth
This approach demonstrates how architectural thinking can multiply AI's impact across an entire organization.
๐ฆ What is Goose and how does it work as Block's open-source AI agent?
Block's General-Purpose AI Agent
Goose represents Block's flagship AI tool that has been open-sourced for broader industry impact:
Core Functionality:
- General-purpose AI agent - Downloadable program that works on any laptop
- Dual interface - Available through both command line and graphical UI
- Company-wide adoption - Used by the majority of Block employees
Technical Foundation:
Model Context Protocol (MCP) Integration:
- Early adopter - Goose was one of the first agents to implement MCP
- Formalized wrappers - Creates standardized interfaces for existing tools and capabilities
- System connectivity - Connects to all Block systems including Gmail, Google Docs, Square payments
Workflow Orchestration Capabilities:
Example: Marketing Report Generation
- Simple prompt - "I want a marketing report of how we did in Q3"
- Autonomous data gathering - Searches Snowflake, Looker, Tableau, and other systems
- Analysis and visualization - Uses programming tools to build charts and analyze data
- Delivery automation - Creates PDF or Google Doc and can automatically email results
Strategic Impact:
- Complete automation - Handles complex multi-system workflows independently
- Enterprise integration - Seamlessly works with existing corporate infrastructure
- Open-source commitment - Block has made this valuable tool freely available to the industry
Goose demonstrates how AI agents can orchestrate complex business processes across multiple enterprise systems without human intervention.
๐ Summary from [8:03-15:57]
Essential Insights:
- Generative AI transformation - Block shifted from narrow ML applications (fraud/risk) to company-wide AI integration through deep learning capabilities
- Organizational restructuring - Moved from business unit silos to functional teams to accelerate AI adoption and unlock trapped value
- Holistic capability framework - Reimagined all company functions as unified capabilities accessible through an agent middleware layer
Actionable Insights:
- Progressive implementation - Start with small experimental teams (2-5 engineers on multiple projects) before scaling
- Open tool ecosystem - Provide access to all AI tools and let employees choose what works best through competitive selection
- Architectural thinking - Treat corporate functions and business capabilities equally to maximize AI integration potential
๐ References from [8:03-15:57]
People Mentioned:
- Jack Dorsey - Block CEO who received Dhanji's AI manifesto email and hired him as CTO
- Brian - Former Cash App CEO who worked with Dhanji during the GM structure era
Companies & Products:
- Square - Block's payment processing business unit mentioned in organizational restructuring
- Cash App - Block's peer-to-peer payment platform that Dhanji helped scale from 10 to 200+ engineers
- Tidal - Block's music streaming service mentioned as part of the siloed GM structure
- Salesforce - Customer management system used as example of enterprise tool integration
- Gmail - Google email service that Goose can integrate with for workflow automation
- Google Docs - Document creation platform that Goose can use for report generation
- Snowflake - Data warehouse platform that Goose accesses for analytics
- Looker - Business intelligence platform integrated with Goose workflows
- Tableau - Data visualization tool used by Goose for chart creation
Technologies & Tools:
- Model Context Protocol (MCP) - Technical standard that Goose uses to connect with enterprise systems
- Goose - Block's open-source AI agent available for download and use
Concepts & Frameworks:
- Agent Middleware Layer - Block's architectural approach to unifying all company capabilities through AI agent interfaces
- Capability Framework - Treating all business functions as unified capabilities rather than separate systems
- Functional Organization - Centralized structure that replaced GM silos to accelerate AI transformation
๐ How did Block's Goose AI agent project come to be?
Origin Story and Development
When Dhanji Prasanna took over as CTO at Block, he discovered Goose among seven or eight innovative projects that engineers were developing in the background. The project was created by Brad Axen, an engineer who had developed a thesis that agents would be the future of realizing utility from AI.
Development Process:
- Discovery Phase - Found among multiple experimental projects during CTO transition
- Resource Allocation - Ring-fenced Brad and gave him a team of 6-7 people
- Execution - The small team "punched above their weight" to deliver results
Key Insights:
- Early Vision: Brad correctly predicted that agents would be the future of AI utility
- Company Culture: Block's culture of experimentation, promoted by Jack, enables engineers to pursue ambitious ideas
- Success Rate: While many experiments don't work out, Goose joined Cash App as a major success story
- Name Origin: "Goose" is a Top Gun reference - Brad resembles the character Goose
Block's Innovation Philosophy:
- Engineers are motivated to "build something cool that no one else has ever built before"
- Freedom to ring-fence talented individuals and let them pursue "crazy ideas"
- Recognition that most experiments fail, but the successes can be transformative
- Other successful experiments mentioned: Bit Key and Proto
๐ฏ What makes Goose different from ChatGPT and Claude?
Interface Options and User Experience
Goose offers two primary interfaces designed for different user preferences and workflows:
Command Line Interface:
- Primary Users: Engineers who prefer working in terminal environments
- Strengths: Better suited for coding-style work and development tasks
- Workflow: Direct command-line interaction for technical users
Application Interface:
- Primary Users: Non-technical team members (sales, finance, operations)
- Experience: Similar to ChatGPT in terms of chat-based interaction
- Capability: Enables non-technical users to build software dashboards
Core Architectural Differences:
Autonomy-First Design:
- Extended Loop Execution - Agent runs as far as it can autonomously
- Self-Recovery - When it encounters obstacles, it backs up and tries different approaches
- Adaptive Problem-Solving - Learns from failures and adjusts strategy
Unified Backend:
- Both interfaces access the same MCP (Model Context Protocol) capabilities
- Same underlying functionality regardless of interface choice
- Consistent tool access across different user experiences
Unexpected Discovery:
The most surprising insight has been non-technical employees successfully building software applications for themselves - something Block never anticipated would be possible or practical.
๐ How does Block secure autonomous AI agents like Goose?
Multi-Layered Security Architecture
Block has implemented a comprehensive security framework to address concerns about autonomous AI agent operations:
Safety Modes and Controls:
Human-in-the-Loop Mode:
- Agent requests approval before taking any destructive actions
- Users can review and approve each significant step
- Ideal for new users building confidence with the system
Fully Autonomous Mode:
- Agent operates independently with built-in safety mechanisms
- Users typically graduate to this mode after gaining comfort
- Provides maximum productivity benefits
Built-in Safety Mechanisms:
Inherent LLM Caution:
- Large Language Models are naturally designed to be cautious with tool use
- Built-in hesitation before potentially harmful actions
Proactive Communication:
- Even in autonomous mode, Goose alerts users before destructive actions
- Provides opportunity for intervention without formal approval workflows
Real-time Interruption:
- Users can interrupt Goose at any time during execution
- Ability to redirect the agent to take different approaches
- Common workflow among Block engineers
Access Control Framework:
User-Based Permissions:
- Goose acts with the same access controls as the individual user
- Sales team members cannot access financial information
- Financial team cannot access sales data
- Blast radius limited to individual's authorization level
Role-Based Security:
- Agent operates as a "sidekick" rather than independent entity
- No elevated privileges beyond what the user already possesses
- Maintains existing organizational security boundaries
Advanced Implementations:
Headless Goose for CI/CD:
- Operates in continuous integration pipelines
- Automatically attempts to fix security vulnerabilities
- Requires human review and approval before any production deployment
- Follows strict audit and review procedures
Reality vs. Perception:
Dhanji notes that user worry about autonomous agents is typically much greater than the actual risk, based on Block's extensive experience with the system.
๐ Summary from [16:03-23:58]
Essential Insights:
- Innovation Discovery - Goose emerged from Block's culture of experimentation, where CTO Dhanji found it among 7-8 experimental projects developed by engineer Brad Axen
- Autonomous Agent Design - Unlike ChatGPT, Goose emphasizes autonomy with self-recovery capabilities and extended loop execution that can build software without coding knowledge
- Security Through Inheritance - Goose operates with the same access controls as individual users, acting as a "sidekick" rather than an independent entity with elevated privileges
Actionable Insights:
- Dual Interface Strategy - Offering both command-line and UI interfaces enables adoption across technical and non-technical teams
- Graduated Safety Modes - Starting users with human-in-the-loop approval and progressing to autonomous mode builds confidence and maximizes productivity
- Ring-Fencing Innovation - Giving talented individuals dedicated teams and freedom to pursue "crazy ideas" can yield transformative results like Cash App and Goose
๐ References from [16:03-23:58]
People Mentioned:
- Brad Axen - Block engineer who developed Goose and predicted agents would be the future of AI utility
- Jack Dorsey - Promotes Block's culture of experimentation that enables innovative projects
Companies & Products:
- Block - Parent company that developed Goose and maintains culture of innovation
- Cash App - Another successful Block innovation that started as an experiment
- ChatGPT - Referenced as comparison point for Goose's application interface
- Claude - Mentioned as another AI comparison point
Technologies & Tools:
- MCP (Model Context Protocol) - Protocol that Goose helped shape and uses for enterprise tool integration
- Headless Goose - Specialized version that runs in CI pipelines to automatically fix security vulnerabilities
- Bit Key - Another Block experimental project that started simple and grew successful
- Proto - Additional Block innovation mentioned as successful experiment
Concepts & Frameworks:
- Ring-Fencing Strategy - Block's approach of giving talented individuals dedicated teams and resources to pursue innovative ideas
- Human-in-the-Loop vs Autonomous Modes - Security framework allowing graduated trust levels for AI agent operations
- Role-Based Access Control - Security model where agents inherit user permissions rather than having elevated privileges
๐จ What creative applications have Block engineers built using Goose?
Innovative Use Cases Beyond Traditional Development
Real-World Applications:
- Design to Code: Converting Figma designs into functioning websites automatically
- Travel Planning: Building personalized Paris travel maps with optimized walking routes using traveling salesman algorithms
- Business Tools: Creating treasury dashboards and one-click shareable reporting tools for colleagues
Advanced Projects:
- Bit Chat: A completely decentralized social networking application running on Bluetooth, initially built with Goose
- Self-Improvement: Goose building and improving its own codebase - the vast majority of Goose's code is written by Goose itself
Goal for Complete Autonomy:
The team aims for Goose to become completely autonomous, with each release rewriting itself 100% from scratch. While some human-written code remains at complexity levels Goose hasn't reached yet, they're working toward full bootstrap capability.
๐ค What is the most extreme example of AI automation at Block?
The Ultimate AI Assistant Integration
Comprehensive Life Monitoring:
One Block engineer has configured Goose to watch literally everything he does:
- All Slack communications
- Google Meet calls
- Every digital interaction throughout the day
Proactive Feature Development:
- Autonomous Initiative: Goose listens to casual conversations about feature ideas
- Automatic Implementation: Hours later, it develops the discussed feature and opens pull requests
- No Direct Commands: The engineer never explicitly asks for these features - Goose infers intent from conversation context
Smart Life Management:
- Meeting Interruptions: Breaks the engineer out of flow states when he's late for meetings
- Travel Time Calculations: Factors in commute time to the office
- Automatic Scheduling: When the engineer mentions rescheduling with colleagues, Goose handles calendar updates automatically
Reality Check:
As Dhanji notes: "You have to have the stomach for it" - this level of AI integration requires comfort with autonomous systems making decisions based on passive observation.
๐ง How does Goose's architecture work with different AI models?
The Brain and Body Analogy
Core Architecture:
- Pluggable Provider System: Compatible with any LLM capable of tool calling
- LLM as Brain: The foundation model serves as thinking and text generation capability
- Goose as Arms and Legs: Provides the ability to act in the real world through digital systems
Multi-Model Support:
Goose functions as more than just an LLM tool use loop - it's the interface that transforms a "brain in a jar" into an active agent capable of interacting with real systems like GitHub, Salesforce, and other enterprise tools.
๐ง How does Block optimize existing systems for Goose integration?
The Anti-Engineering Approach
Philosophy: Don't Over-Engineer:
Block's strategy is to not over-engineer systems to be "Goose-friendly." Instead, they let Goose learn from doing things naturally.
Recipe Feature:
- Workflow Learning: When users try workflows with Goose and like the results
- Script Creation: Successful workflows get "baked" into reusable scripts called "recipes"
- Team Sharing: Recipes can be shared with teammates for consistent processes
Surprising Capabilities:
- Superior Problem-Solving: Goose figures things out in ways humans wouldn't think of
- Speed Advantage: Often completes tasks quicker than human approaches
- Rapid Evolution: LLM improvements make engineering scaffolding obsolete quickly
Key Mindset Shift:
"You have to stop thinking like an engineer... and start thinking more like a data scientist" - traditional engineering optimization approaches don't apply to AI agent integration.
๐ Which AI models perform best for tool use in Goose?
Provider Performance and Capabilities
Major LLM Providers:
- All Pretty Good: Big providers (OpenAI, Anthropic, etc.) have solid tool calling capabilities
- Regular Leapfrogging: Providers regularly surpass each other in capability
- Native Support: All major providers have built-in tool calling functionality
Open Source Challenges:
- No Native Tool Calling: Open source models only generate text
- Fine-Tuning Solutions: Some models are fine-tuned specifically for better tool use
- Tool Shim System: Block created this system to adapt open source LLMs for MCP compatibility
Model Selection by Use Case:
- Privacy-Conscious Users: Choose models like Qwen and Deepseek that run entirely on laptops
- Coding Applications: Prefer Claude family of models for development tasks
- Performance Options: GPT-4 is getting close in capability to Claude
- Speed Focus: Embedded model providers offer "blindingly fast" performance on latest MacBooks
Flexible Architecture:
Block supports 10-20 models through their gateway, with open source Goose having even more plugin options for various providers.
๐ Summary from [24:05-31:57]
Essential Insights:
- Creative Applications: Engineers use Goose for everything from Figma-to-code conversion to personalized travel planning, demonstrating AI's versatility beyond traditional development
- Extreme Automation: One engineer has Goose monitoring all communications and proactively developing features based on casual conversations
- Anti-Engineering Philosophy: Block avoids over-engineering systems for AI compatibility, instead letting Goose learn naturally through recipes and workflow sharing
Actionable Insights:
- Let AI agents learn from doing rather than pre-optimizing systems for them
- Use recipe features to capture and share successful AI workflows across teams
- Choose AI models based on specific needs: privacy (local models), coding (Claude), or speed (embedded providers)
๐ References from [24:05-31:57]
People Mentioned:
- Jack - Built Bit Chat, a decentralized social networking application using Goose
Companies & Products:
- Figma - Design tool that Goose can convert into functioning websites
- GitHub - Code repository platform integrated with Goose for pull requests
- Salesforce - CRM platform mentioned as example of enterprise tool integration
- Slack - Communication platform monitored by Goose for context
- Google Meet - Video conferencing tool tracked by AI assistant
Technologies & Tools:
- Bit Chat - Decentralized chat application running on Bluetooth, built with Goose
- MCP (Model Context Protocol) - Protocol for connecting AI agents to enterprise systems
- Tool Shim - Block's system for adapting open source LLMs to use MCP
- Claude - Anthropic's AI models preferred for coding applications
- GPT-4 - OpenAI's model mentioned as getting close to Claude's capability
- Qwen - Open source model for privacy-conscious users
- Deepseek - Another privacy-focused model option
Concepts & Frameworks:
- Traveling Salesman Algorithm - Optimization method used in Goose's Paris travel planning application
- Recipe System - Goose's feature for capturing and sharing successful workflows
- Tool Calling - AI capability for interacting with external systems and APIs
- Pluggable Provider System - Architecture allowing Goose to work with multiple AI models
๐ How does Block measure AI productivity gains with Goose?
Quantifying AI Impact Through Manual Hours Saved
Block tracks AI productivity through a comprehensive weekly metric that measures manual hours saved by Goose and their AI suite.
Current Performance Metrics:
- 25% Target Achievement - Block aims to save 25% of manual hours by year-end and is on track to meet this goal
- 8-10 Hours Weekly Savings - Engineers report saving 8-10 hours per week using Goose and related AI tools
- Comprehensive Measurement - The metric incorporates both qualitative and quantitative signals to ensure accuracy
Key Productivity Areas:
- Workflow Automation - Eliminating repetitive manual processes
- Drudgery Reduction - Removing "work about the work" that doesn't add value
- General Task Efficiency - Leveraging LLMs' strength in general-purpose capabilities
Future Expansion:
Block expects these savings to continue increasing as they deploy their agentic middleware layer and additional AI interventions beyond Goose.
๐ Why does Block prioritize open source development?
Core Values and Strategic Philosophy Behind Open Source Commitment
Block's commitment to open source stems from foundational values and practical benefits that have shaped the company since its inception.
Historical Foundation:
- Leadership Legacy - CTO Dhanji Prasanna was hired through his open source contributions
- Previous CTO Influence - Bob Lee, Block's first CTO, established the open source tradition
- Jack Dorsey's Vision - Open source participation is core to the company's values
Quality and Community Benefits:
- Higher Code Standards - Open source maintains incredibly high quality bars
- Community Ethos - Long lineage dating back to GNU and early open source movements
- Scale Advantage - 30,000+ community engineers vs. 3,000+ internal engineers
Practical Impact:
- Global Reach - Block's open source technologies run on close to 4 billion mobile devices worldwide
- Android Success - Significant achievements in Android open source contributions
- Learning Platform - Engineers gain valuable experience and knowledge through open source participation
Strategic Reasoning:
Block believes in uplifting everyone and showing the way for the broader tech community, following the tradition established when they first released open source projects.
๐ค What is Block's vision for swarm intelligence in AI coding?
Future of AI Development Through Collaborative Agent Networks
Block envisions a dramatic shift from single-agent AI assistance to swarm intelligence systems for software development.
Current State vs. Future Vision:
Today's Approach:
- One model or a couple of models
- Single AI agent on laptop/desktop
- Co-pilot style individual assistance
- Basic tool calling loops
Tomorrow's Swarm Intelligence:
- 50-100 Agent Instances - Multiple Goose agents working simultaneously
- Collaborative Building - Agents working together to create complex applications
- Distributed Processing - Swarms of agents handling different aspects of development
Model Preferences and Development:
Open Source Advocacy:
- Preference for Open Models - All models should be open source and open weights
- Qwen Highlight - Fast, capable tool use with rapid improvement
- Utility Vision - AI should be like a utility, similar to how the internet was imagined
Block's Model Development:
- SLMs (Smaller Language Models) - Focused on customer service and risk management
- Frontier Research Models - Pure research applications
- Speech-to-Speech Model - Will be open sourced with published findings
Technical Challenge:
Unlike Goose, multi-trillion parameter models can't be easily downloaded and run locally, creating complexity in the open source model ecosystem.
๐ Summary from [32:03-39:58]
Essential Insights:
- Measurable AI Impact - Block tracks 25% manual hours saved target with engineers reporting 8-10 hours weekly savings through comprehensive metrics
- Open Source Philosophy - Deep commitment to open source as core company value, leveraging community of 30,000+ engineers vs. internal 3,000+ team
- Swarm Intelligence Future - Vision shifts from single AI agents to 50-100 collaborative agents building complex applications together
Actionable Insights:
- Implement comprehensive tracking metrics combining qualitative and quantitative signals to measure AI productivity gains
- Leverage open source community scale advantages to accelerate development and maintain higher code quality standards
- Prepare for swarm intelligence paradigm where multiple AI agents collaborate rather than single co-pilot assistance
๐ References from [32:03-39:58]
People Mentioned:
- Bob Lee - Block's first CTO who established the open source tradition and worked with Dhanji Prasanna
- Jack Dorsey - Block founder whose commitment to open source values inspired industry initiatives
Companies & Products:
- Block - Financial services company with 4 billion device reach through open source technologies
- Sequoia Capital - Venture capital firm that started an open source fellowship program
Technologies & Tools:
- Goose - Block's open source AI agent for enterprise automation
- Qwen - Open source language model noted for fast, capable tool use
- Linux - Open source operating system foundation for tech companies
- Git - Open source version control system used across the industry
- Android - Mobile platform where Block has significant open source contributions
Concepts & Frameworks:
- GNU Project - Early open source movement providing historical foundation for current practices
- Swarm Intelligence - Future AI paradigm using multiple collaborative agents instead of single assistants
- SLMs (Smaller Language Models) - Focused models for specific use cases like customer service and risk management
- Agentic Middleware Layer - Block's advanced system for unlocking additional AI utility beyond basic automation
๐ค How will AI agent swarms outperform single large language models?
Distributed AI Architecture Strategy
Dhanji Prasanna envisions a future where multiple smaller AI models working together will surpass the capabilities of individual large language models, fundamentally changing the competitive landscape in AI.
The Swarm Hypothesis:
- Scale Through Numbers - Deploy 50, 60, 500, or even 1,000 copies of smaller, cheaper open-source models
- Accumulated Capability - Combined processing power exceeds any single large language model
- Cost Efficiency - Smaller models are more economical to run at scale
Potential Architecture Models:
- Hierarchical Swarms: Large models handle planning and reintegration while smaller models execute specific tasks
- Nanoservices Approach: Break complex problems into tiny components that simpler models can handle
- Collaborative Processing: Multiple agents work together on different aspects of the same problem
The Philosophical Question:
"Can an infinite number of ants build a spaceship?" - This analogy captures the core debate about whether collective intelligence from many simple units can achieve what individual sophisticated systems cannot.
Research Direction:
- Active Investigation: Block is actively researching this distributed AI approach
- Uncertain Outcomes: The exact implementation and effectiveness remain to be proven
- Biological Inspiration: Drawing parallels to ant colonies and other collective intelligence systems in nature
โก What does Block's CTO wish he had to move faster with AI?
Speed and Responsiveness Priorities
As someone deploying AI at massive scaleโtouching tens of millions of consumers and businesses while moving substantial amounts of moneyโDhanji Prasanna identifies key areas where he wants to accelerate progress.
Primary Wish List:
- Faster Movement Across All Fronts - Eliminating friction that slows down development and deployment
- Local Tool Responsiveness - Achieving the same energizing, momentum-building experience of local tools at enterprise scale
- Team-Level Speed - Extending rapid responsiveness to entire teams and organizational initiatives
The Momentum Challenge:
- Local vs. Enterprise: Individual developers experience great responsiveness with local tools, but this doesn't scale to team or organizational level
- Friction Points: Current enterprise tools introduce delays that break the flow state and reduce productivity
- Scale Requirements: Need solutions that work for major financial technology operations
Ultimate Goal:
- Rapid Customer Value: All speed improvements serve the purpose of building useful things for customers and community faster
- Data Feedback Loops: Getting quicker insights from existing data to inform decisions
- Iteration Velocity: Ability to rapidly test, learn, and improve products and services
AI's Role in Speed:
AI tools represent the first real opportunity to crack some of the fundamental friction problems that have plagued enterprise development, potentially delivering the responsiveness that energizes individual developers to entire organizational initiatives.
๐ How does Block make remote-first work as a major tech company?
Remote Work Strategy and Trade-offs
Block operates as a remote-first organization with their CTO living in Australia and teams distributed globally, challenging conventional wisdom about speed and collaboration in tech companies.
Key Advantages of Remote-First:
- Access to Exceptional Talent - Can hire leading industry experts who would never work for the company otherwise
- Global Talent Pool - Employees in Sweden, Sydney, and other locations who are top performers in their fields
- Retention Benefits - Keep incredible engineers for 6-8 years in markets with less competition than Silicon Valley
- Early Market Entry - Block opened Australian engineering offices a decade ago, gaining first-mover advantage
Honest Trade-offs:
- Velocity Impact: Some reduction in speed compared to co-located teams
- Serendipity Loss: Missing water cooler conversations and spontaneous collaborations that accelerate work
- Coordination Overhead: Additional effort required for distributed team management
Strategic Rationale:
- Net Positive: Benefits clearly outweigh costs due to talent quality and retention
- DNA Advantage: Cash App had distributed work culture from the beginning, making remote transitions natural
- Competitive Edge: Early adoption of remote work provided access to talent pools competitors ignored
Implementation Success:
- Decade of Experience: Ten years of operating distributed engineering teams
- Proven Model: Never looked back after initial international expansion
- Talent-First Approach: Prioritizing access to the best people over geographical convenience
๐ป What is vibe coding and how is Block's CTO using it daily?
AI-Powered Development Approach
Vibe coding represents a fundamental shift in how developers write code, with AI agents handling the majority of code generation while humans focus on higher-level direction and refinement.
Vibe Coding Definition:
- AI-First Development: Using AI agents like Goose to generate code based on natural language descriptions
- Minimal Manual Coding: Developers rarely write code manually, instead directing AI agents
- Iterative Refinement: Making edits, commenting out sections, and testing rather than writing from scratch
Block's Implementation:
- CTO Daily Practice - Dhanji writes code every day, but exclusively through Goose and other AI agents
- Pioneer Status - Goose was among the very first tools to enable vibe coding
- Evaluation Method - Uses vibe coding to test and compare different AI agents' capabilities
Current Adoption Status:
- Leadership Adoption: CTO and other leaders fully embraced the approach
- Engineer Transition: Many engineers still adapting to vibe coding methodology
- Gradual Shift: Moving from traditional coding practices to AI-assisted development
Optimal Use Cases:
- Smaller Tools: Most effective for dashboards, reports, and interactive systems
- Individual Projects: Works best for per-person tools rather than massive codebases
- Rapid Prototyping: Excellent for quickly building functional applications
Current Limitations:
- Complex Systems: Less effective for 10-million-line legacy codebases
- Context Window Constraints: LLMs struggle with extremely large, complex code structures
- Legacy Integration: Traditional coding still necessary for complex existing systems
๐ Can AI match human developers for high-performance financial code?
AI Capabilities in Critical Systems Development
When building secure, performant financial systems that handle real money and require cryptographic security, the question arises whether AI can match experienced human developers in writing optimal code.
The Performance Question:
- Critical Requirements: Financial payment systems need exceptional performance, security, and reliability
- Crypto Integration: Systems using cryptography require deep technical understanding
- Compact Code: Experienced developers can write highly optimized, efficient code
Dhanji's Perspective:
- Narrow Cases: Acknowledges there are probably some very specific situations where human expertise still excels
- AI-First Approach: Even in complex cases, developers should start with AI-generated code
- Sculpture Analogy: Like working with clay or writing a story, having an AI-generated skeleton is more productive than starting from scratch
Recommended Workflow:
- Start with AI: Use LLMs to generate initial code structure and implementation
- Human Refinement: Identify areas for improvement and optimization
- Iterative Enhancement: Build upon AI foundation rather than starting from zero
Surprising AI Capabilities:
- Performance Competency: LLMs are surprisingly good at writing performant code
- Proper Guidance: Success depends on giving AI agents appropriate direction and context
- Foundation Building: AI provides solid starting points that humans can enhance
Practical Implementation:
The most effective approach combines AI's rapid code generation with human expertise in optimization, creating a collaborative development process that leverages the strengths of both artificial and human intelligence.
๐ Summary from [40:03-47:56]
Essential Insights:
- AI Swarm Strategy - Block is researching whether multiple smaller AI models working together can outperform single large language models, potentially changing the competitive AI landscape
- Speed as Priority - The CTO's primary wish is to eliminate friction and achieve local tool responsiveness at enterprise scale to accelerate customer value delivery
- Remote-First Success - Block's distributed workforce strategy provides access to exceptional global talent that outweighs velocity trade-offs from reduced in-person collaboration
Actionable Insights:
- Vibe Coding Adoption: Start using AI agents for code generation while maintaining human oversight for complex systems
- Talent Strategy: Consider remote-first approaches to access specialized expertise unavailable in local markets
- AI Architecture Planning: Explore distributed AI approaches using multiple smaller models rather than relying solely on large monolithic systems
- Development Workflow: Begin with AI-generated code as a foundation, then apply human expertise for optimization and refinement
๐ References from [40:03-47:56]
People Mentioned:
- Sebastian from CLA - Mentioned as someone who practices vibe coding, noticing issues in apps and coding solutions directly
Companies & Products:
- Cash App - Block's mobile payment service that had distributed work DNA from the beginning
- Goose - Block's open-source AI agent that pioneered vibe coding capabilities
Technologies & Tools:
- Large Language Models (LLMs) - AI systems being compared to swarm approaches for enterprise development
- Context Windows - Technical limitation affecting AI's ability to work with massive codebases
Concepts & Frameworks:
- Vibe Coding - AI-first development approach where developers direct AI agents rather than manually writing code
- Hierarchical Swarms - Proposed AI architecture using large models for planning while smaller models handle specific tasks
- Nanoservices - Concept of breaking down complex problems into tiny components for simpler AI models
- Remote-First Organization - Business strategy prioritizing distributed work over co-location
๐ค How do AI models struggle with proprietary enterprise systems?
AI Model Limitations in Enterprise Environments
Where AI Models Excel:
- Code Generation: Writing code in standard programming languages and frameworks
- Pattern Recognition: Following established coding patterns and conventions
- Documentation: Creating well-structured code with proper formatting
Critical Limitations:
- Proprietary API Integration - Models lack training data on custom enterprise APIs
- Complex Framework Navigation - Struggle with company-specific proprietary frameworks
- System Architecture - Cannot handle high-level architectural design decisions
- Race Condition Management - Fail to understand complex timing and coordination issues
- Multi-System Orchestration - Unable to coordinate across multiple system topologies
Human Intervention Required:
- Architectural Design: High-level system planning and structure
- Race Condition Resolution: Understanding timing conflicts between systems
- Cross-System Coordination: Orchestrating workflows across multiple platforms
- Proprietary Framework Reasoning: Working with custom enterprise tools
๐ How can enterprise security restrictions limit AI tool deployment?
Overcoming Administrative Barriers for AI Agent Access
Common Enterprise Deployment Challenges:
- Administrative Rights: Limited machine access for regulated entities
- Compliance Requirements: Investment advisors must follow strict regulatory controls
- Security Protocols: Organizational policies preventing full AI tool deployment
Alternative Deployment Solutions:
- Browser-Based Versions - Run Goose directly in web browsers without local installation
- Hosted Environments - Fully managed cloud deployments for regulated organizations
- Safe Mode Operations - Restricted access modes that maintain security compliance
- Custom Modifications - Open source flexibility allows tailored enterprise configurations
Implementation Benefits:
- Maintained Security: Compliance with regulatory requirements
- Reduced Friction: Easier deployment in restricted environments
- Organizational Adoption: Higher acceptance rates from IT departments
- Customizable Access: Tailored permissions based on organizational needs
๐ What percentage of code is AI-generated at Block today?
Current AI Code Generation Statistics at Block
Engagement-Based Code Generation:
- Most Engaged Engineers: Generate 30-40% of their code using Goose
- Legacy Codebase Context: Complex existing systems present challenges for AI agents
- Team Variation: Different adoption rates across various engineering teams
AI-First Development Approach:
- New Projects: Nearly 100% AI-generated code for greenfield applications
- Goose Self-Development: Every pull request for Goose itself is written by Goose
- Production Applications: Multiple serious production apps deployed with majority AI code
- Future Scaling: Still progressing toward majority AI code across all applications
Implementation Reality:
- Gradual Adoption: Measured rollout across different team types
- Context Dependency: Legacy systems require more human intervention
- Tool Evolution: Continuous improvement in AI agent capabilities
- Productivity Metrics: Engineers saving 8-10 hours per week through AI automation
๐๏ธ How does Square AI help merchants make business decisions?
Customer-Facing AI Applications for Business Intelligence
Square AI Capabilities:
- Financial Analysis: Understands complete merchant financial data
- Natural Language Queries: Conversational interface for complex business questions
- Visual Reporting: Generates charts and graphs from financial data
- Scenario Planning: Analyzes potential business decisions and their impact
Real-World Use Case Example:
Wine Bar Closing Hours Decision:
- Initial Question: "How much revenue would we lose closing an hour early on Thursdays?"
- AI Analysis: Examined sales patterns and operational data
- Unexpected Insight: Waiters earned significant tips during that final hour
- Business Decision: Chose to maintain current hours based on AI analysis
Customer Value Proposition:
- Immediate Insights: Quick access to complex financial analysis
- Decision Support: Data-driven recommendations for operational changes
- Productivity Gains: Similar benefits to internal developer tools
- Accessible Interface: Natural language interaction with business data
๐จ Why does Block prioritize design culture alongside AI capabilities?
The Critical Balance of Capabilities and Interface Design
Jack Dorsey's Framework:
- Two Core Components: Capabilities and interfaces working together
- Common Mistake: Overemphasizing technical capabilities while neglecting user experience
- Design Priority: Interface design determines user adoption and satisfaction
Block's Design Philosophy:
- Historical Commitment: Design excellence from day one across all products
- Square Reader Example: Beautiful design hiding enormous technical complexity
- Cash App Simplicity: Single balance interface orchestrating complex backend systems
- Complexity Suppression: Advanced engineering masked by intuitive user experiences
AI Interface Evolution:
- Customer Understanding: Ensuring users can engage with AI-powered features
- Value Accessibility: Making powerful capabilities usable for end customers
- Design-Engineering Partnership: Equal emphasis on both disciplines
- User-Centric Approach: Focus on customer needs rather than technical showcasing
Future Interface Considerations:
- Voice Integration: Exploring voice as an important interface modality
- Natural Interaction: Moving toward more intuitive AI engagement methods
๐ฎ What does Block's AI-first future look like in three years?
Block's Vision for Technology Leadership and Open Source
Core Commitments:
- Technology Company Identity: Continued focus on pushing technological boundaries
- Open Source Leadership: Maintaining commitment to open source development
- Universal Access: Increasing accessibility of advanced AI tools for everyone
- Innovation Focus: Driving industry-wide advancement through shared technology
Strategic Direction:
- Capability-Interface Integration: AI agents as middleware connecting powerful backend systems
- Product Evolution: Transforming entire product suite around AI-first principles
- Customer Empowerment: Enabling users to leverage complex capabilities through simple interfaces
- Industry Impact: Contributing to broader AI adoption across enterprise and consumer markets
Technology Philosophy:
- Design-Engineering Balance: Continued emphasis on both technical excellence and user experience
- Complexity Management: Hiding sophisticated systems behind intuitive interfaces
- Open Development: Sharing innovations to accelerate industry progress
- Access Democratization: Making enterprise-grade AI tools available to broader markets
๐ Summary from [48:03-55:56]
Essential Insights:
- AI Model Limitations - Current models struggle with proprietary APIs and complex enterprise frameworks, requiring human intervention for architectural design and system coordination
- Enterprise Deployment Challenges - Security restrictions and compliance requirements can limit AI tool access, but alternative solutions like browser-based and hosted environments provide workarounds
- Code Generation Progress - Most engaged engineers generate 30-40% of code with AI in legacy systems, while AI-first teams achieve nearly 100% AI-generated code
Actionable Insights:
- Gradual AI Adoption: Start with greenfield projects for highest AI code generation success rates
- Design-First Approach: Prioritize user interface design equally with technical capabilities to ensure customer adoption
- Open Source Strategy: Leverage open source tools like Goose for customizable enterprise AI deployment
- Customer-Facing AI: Implement conversational AI interfaces for business intelligence and decision support
๐ References from [48:03-55:56]
People Mentioned:
- Jack Dorsey - Block co-founder discussing capabilities vs interfaces framework and voice interface potential
Companies & Products:
- Anthropic - Partner in advancing MCP protocol development
- Sequoia Capital - Investment firm using Goose internally for application development
- Square AI - Block's customer-facing AI product in public beta for merchant financial analysis
- Cash App - Block's payment app demonstrating design simplicity over backend complexity
Technologies & Tools:
- Goose - Block's open source AI agent for code generation and business intelligence
- MCP (Model Context Protocol) - Protocol for connecting AI agents to enterprise systems
- Square Reader - Block's original card reader product showcasing design-engineering integration
Concepts & Frameworks:
- AI-First Development - Approach where new applications are primarily built using AI code generation
- Capabilities and Interfaces Framework - Jack Dorsey's philosophy balancing technical features with user experience design
- Safe Mode - Restricted AI agent operation for compliance with enterprise security requirements
๐ฎ What does Block CTO predict for AI agent evolution in the next three years?
Future of AI Agents and Technology Evolution
Three-Year AI Agent Predictions:
- Next Evolution Beyond Current Agents - Dhanji expects to see the next major evolution of what agents are like, how they're deployed and used
- New Technology Categories - Agents may not even be called "agents" anymore as new technological paradigms emerge
- Block's Leadership Position - Strong belief that Block will be at the forefront of these developments
Key Innovation Drivers:
- Increased Autonomy - Greater autonomy for everyone will accelerate innovation like Goose
- Continuous Innovation Cycle - Expectation to "come up with things like goose over and over again"
- Technology Evolution - Potential emergence of entirely new technological frameworks
Future Outlook:
The prediction suggests a fundamental shift in how AI agents operate and are conceptualized, with Block positioned to lead this transformation through their commitment to autonomy and innovation.
๐ฏ What will be the biggest AI topic for companies in 2025?
Unlocking Utility from AI Investments
The Central Challenge:
Many companies have rushed towards AI without understanding how to unlock utility from it, leading to incorrect conclusions about AI's value and worth as an investment.
Current Market Problems:
- Premature Conclusions - Companies concluding AI is hype or not worth investment
- Capability vs. Utility Gap - Organizations sitting on the curve between what AI can do and what value they extract
- Rushed Implementation - Moving too fast without strategic understanding
2025 Prediction:
- Utility Unlocking will be the dominant conversation topic
- Companies that understand how to extract real value from AI will distinguish themselves
- Clear separation between organizations that "get it" and those that don't
Success Factors:
The companies that will thrive are those that focus on value for their core reason for being rather than chasing dollars or hype, with Block's focus on customer economic empowerment as an example.
๐ How does the historical technology adoption pattern apply to AI development?
The Classic Technology Hype Cycle Applied to AI
Historical Pattern:
We tend to overestimate the impact of new technologies in the short run and underestimate it in the long run - a pattern identified by a Stanford computer scientist in the 1970s.
AI Timeline Predictions:
- 2026 - Trough of Disillusionment - Period when AI doesn't quite live up to expectations
- Post-2026 - Doubling Down Phase - Continued investment and development despite temporary disappointment
- 2030 - Upside Surprise - AI will likely exceed long-term expectations
Alternative Scenario:
There's a small chance that LLMs continue to improve at their current rate, which could accelerate the timeline significantly.
Technological Developments:
- Combining Technologies - Integration of diffusion and transformer technologies showing promising results
- Performance Improvements - New models demonstrating significant capability advances
- Potential Acceleration - Small possibility of breakthrough that changes the predicted timeline
Strategic Implications:
Companies that stay the course and focus on core value creation will outperform those chasing short-term gains or hype.
๐ Summary from [56:03-59:29]
Essential Insights:
- AI Agent Evolution - Next three years will bring fundamental changes to how agents operate and are conceptualized, potentially creating entirely new technology categories
- Utility Gap Challenge - The biggest 2025 topic will be companies learning to unlock actual value from AI investments rather than chasing hype
- Technology Adoption Cycle - AI follows the classic pattern of short-term overestimation and long-term underestimation, with 2026 likely being a trough of disillusionment before 2030 breakthroughs
Actionable Insights:
- Focus on extracting real utility from AI rather than rushing into implementation
- Stay committed to AI development through inevitable disappointment periods
- Prioritize core business value over hype-driven initiatives
- Prepare for potential acceleration if LLM improvement rates continue
๐ References from [56:03-59:29]
People Mentioned:
- Stanford Computer Scientist - Coined the technology adoption pattern concept in the 1970s about overestimating short-term and underestimating long-term impact
Companies & Products:
- Block - Focused on customer economic empowerment as core business value
- Goose - Block's open-source AI agent that can write its own PRs
Technologies & Tools:
- Diffusion Technology - Advanced AI technique being combined with transformer models
- Transformer Technologies - Core AI architecture being enhanced through combination with other approaches
- Large Language Models (LLMs) - Continuing to improve at significant rates with potential for acceleration
Concepts & Frameworks:
- Technology Adoption Cycle - Pattern of overestimating short-term impact while underestimating long-term potential
- Capability vs. Utility Curve - The gap between what AI can do and the actual value organizations extract
- Trough of Disillusionment - Predicted 2026 period when AI expectations temporarily exceed reality